I’m working on an article about how people who have short AI timelines cope psychologically with the world becoming almost unrecognizably different in the next few years.
I would like someone else to do a timeline for religious people who have short second coming timelines.
This is not meant to be snarky btw, I don't really know anything about AI. But as a raised-atheist I used to find it so fascinating how regular religious people could just cope with the idea of hell and the end times. Then I went on zoloft for OCD and it made a lot more sense.
(While I normally have long AI timelines bordering on "none of this is real", and while I usually assume the Second Coming is just completely unpredictable and having a timeline for it is Not The Point, I have tended to be concerned that 1. Deep learning AIs may be subject to, or even extraordinarily susceptible to, demonic possession, and 2. that a demonically possessed AI might be involved in the End of Days "That Hideous Strength" style.
I have a relatively high P(doom), conditional on AGI. It's somewhere between 1/6 and 5/6, which considerable model error. It's biased towards the higher end of the range.
I'm not necessarily a _fast_ doomer. It might play out over decades as humanity is gradually displaced by a broadly superior species.
My 1/6 hope is basically that we might accidentally build a mind that *chooses* to value humans. I do not expect us to be able to control that choice. Parents can't control the decisions of their adult children, so I have no idea how we think we could control a true superintelligence.
I basically react to all this the way C.S. Lewis reacted to the threat of nuclear war. I would very obviously prefer an AI halt for at least 20 years. I doubt we'll get it. So I might as well live my life in a dignified and enjoyable way.
I expect the end of many white-collar jobs, including my own, and have coped by... hoarding money, sticking it in index funds (increasingly international ones), and refusing to start a family or get married. Which is pretty much what I was doing anyway. So I doubt I'm in your target group, but I'll put out there just in case.
I would like someone else to do a timeline for religious people who have short second coming timelines.
This is not meant to be snarky btw, I don't really know anything about AI. But as a raised-atheist I used to find it so fascinating how regular religious people could just cope with the idea of hell and the end times. Then I went on zoloft for OCD and it made a lot more sense.
Why not both?
(While I normally have long AI timelines bordering on "none of this is real", and while I usually assume the Second Coming is just completely unpredictable and having a timeline for it is Not The Point, I have tended to be concerned that 1. Deep learning AIs may be subject to, or even extraordinarily susceptible to, demonic possession, and 2. that a demonically possessed AI might be involved in the End of Days "That Hideous Strength" style.
does it count if I cope by pretending it's fake 🤭
I have a relatively high P(doom), conditional on AGI. It's somewhere between 1/6 and 5/6, which considerable model error. It's biased towards the higher end of the range.
I'm not necessarily a _fast_ doomer. It might play out over decades as humanity is gradually displaced by a broadly superior species.
My 1/6 hope is basically that we might accidentally build a mind that *chooses* to value humans. I do not expect us to be able to control that choice. Parents can't control the decisions of their adult children, so I have no idea how we think we could control a true superintelligence.
I basically react to all this the way C.S. Lewis reacted to the threat of nuclear war. I would very obviously prefer an AI halt for at least 20 years. I doubt we'll get it. So I might as well live my life in a dignified and enjoyable way.
I expect the end of many white-collar jobs, including my own, and have coped by... hoarding money, sticking it in index funds (increasingly international ones), and refusing to start a family or get married. Which is pretty much what I was doing anyway. So I doubt I'm in your target group, but I'll put out there just in case.